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In Op-Ed, Former Israeli Military Chief Predicts Acceptance of “Bad Deal” with Iran

Israel’s former chief of military intelligence has predicted that Western powers will ultimately accept a “bad deal” with Iran that will leave Israel in a position from which it will be difficult to justify a military strike at the Iranian nuclear facilities. Writing in the Globes economic magazine, Maj. Gen. (res.) Amos Yadlin explains that a “bad” deal is one in which Iran is allowed to enrich uranium to an agreed limit of 5% but will not require the removal from Iran of enriched uranium reserves nor limit the number of its centrifuges and enrichment sites. Yadlin argues that with the 5% limit in-place, the short time span the Iranians would need to accelerate enrichment of weapons-grade uranium would be so short that defensive actions will not be realistic. The crux of the difference between the US and Israeli approaches is that the American red-line is when the Iranians have an “actual breakthrough toward a nuclear weapon” while the Israelis believe defensive action must precede Iran attaining the ability to assemble a weapon. Yadlin predicts the Iranians will proffer the “bad” solution and the West will take the bait, snatch it up and present it as a successful end to the stand-off. Yadlin concludes that, “the US red line is very blurry and hard to distinguish, but it conforms with US policy which seeks to postpone the day of reckoning, at least until after the November elections.”