Will Israel Find an Opportunity To Strike the Iranian Nuclear Facility?

The recent Gaza conflict and other confrontations initiated by the Axis of Resistance in Lebanon and the Red Sea have shifted focus away from a long-standing global concern: the Iranian nuclear program. However, just because discussions about it have diminished, does not mean it no longer impacts regional developments. A recent study from the Begin-Sadat Center for Strategic Studies at Bar-Ilan University in Israel highlights the significant threat that Iran and its regional militias pose to Israel if Tehran acquires nuclear weapons, potentially with the assistance of North Korea. This study outlines the challenges that Israeli leadership must address, particularly in formulating a nuclear deterrence strategy against a hostile nation. The study reveals that the Israeli strategy, known as the “Samson Option,” rests on using nuclear weapons in the face of existential threats or attacks involving weapons of mass destruction. With Iran’s growing aggression towards Israel, there is a pressing need for a revised approach to counter this emerging threat. Among the recommendations detailed in the study is for Israel to openly acknowledge its nuclear capabilities to act as a deterrent against Iran. It also suggests the possibility of establishing communication channels with Tehran to establish mutual deterrence. The study even contemplates the potential for preemptive strikes if deemed necessary to prevent catastrophic outcomes. Ultimately, the study advocates for preventing Iran from obtaining nuclear weapons at all costs. The current crisis presents an opportunity for Israeli leadership to consider targeted strikes on Iranian territory to cripple their nuclear program before it becomes an insurmountable threat. Recent reports indicate Iran’s rapid progress towards nuclear capabilities, raising concerns among global powers. The pressing need for new agreements to limit Iran’s nuclear activities remains unresolved, increasing the urgency for proactive military measures to address this imminent threat. The potential for Iran to possess nuclear-tipped missiles and other advanced weaponry poses a real danger to the region. Other Middle Eastern powers could also seek nuclear capabilities in response, further complicating the situation and necessitating significant international pressure to prevent a nuclear arms race. In light of recent events and escalating tensions, Israel must consider all available options to protect its security, even if it means taking preemptive action against Iran’s nuclear facilities. The specter of the “Samson option” looms large, underscoring the need for decisive action to prevent a nuclear catastrophe. —Riad Kahwaji (translated by Asaf Zilberfarb)