An October Surprise with Iran? Calculations and Policy Implications

An October Surprise with Iran? Calculations and Policy Implications

Date and time: October 6, 2020, 11 am Eastern Daylight Time (UTC-4)

Watch forum on event day here or watch via Facebook Live.

Donald Trump and Joe Biden are putting forward very different ideas about US policy toward Iran, which arguably makes the results of their contest very consequential for Tehran – though some in the Islamic Republic say otherwise. That raises the question of whether a last-minute dramatic development may arise between the two countries before the election, whether initiated by national leaders or subordinates. Such an “October Surprise” could include anything from cyber influence/disruption to clashes with Iranian proxies to a confrontation at sea, or even unexpected talks. If so, what might lead the two sides and other regional players to escalate or de-escalate?

To address these questions, The Washington Institute is pleased to announce a virtual Policy Forum with Ariane Tabatabai, Michael Eisenstadt, and Mehdi Khalaji, to be moderated by Ambassador Barbara Leaf.

Ariane Tabatabai is the Middle East Fellow at the German Marshall Fund’s Alliance for Securing Democracy, which recently published her paper Iran’s Authoritarian Playbook: The Tactics, Doctrine, and Objectives Behind Iran’s Influence Operations. Her latest book is the soon-to-be-published No Conquest, No Defeat: Iran’s National Security Strategy (Oxford University Press).

Michael Eisenstadt is the Kahn Fellow at The Washington Institute and director of its Military and Security Studies Program. His recent publications include the in-depth Institute study Operating in the Gray Zone: Countering Iran’s Asymmetric Way of War.

Mehdi Khalaji, a former Iranian journalist and Qom-trained theologian, is the Institute’s Libitzky Family Fellow and author of its recent paper “Reading Trump in Tehran.”

Give the Gift of Truth This Jewish New Year

The Media Line has been leading for more than twenty years in pioneering the American independent news agency in the Middle East, arguably the first in the region. We have always stayed true to our mission: to provide you with contextual sourced and trustworthy news. In an age of fake news masquerading as journalism, The Media Line plays a crucial role in providing fact-based news that deserves your support.

We're proud of the dozens of young students we've trained in our Press and Policy Student Program who will form the vanguard of the next generation of journalists to the benefit of countless millions of news readers.

Non-profit news needs public support. please help us with your generous contributions.
Donate
The Media Line
We thank our loyal readers and wish you all the happiest of holidays.

Invest in the
Trusted Mideast
News source.
We are on the
front lines.

Personalize Your News
Upgrade your experience by choosing the categories that matter most to you.
Click on the icon to add the category to your Personalize news
Browse Categories and Topics
Wake up to the Trusted Mideast News source Mideast Daily News Email
By subscribing, you agree to The Media Line terms of use and privacy policy.
Wake up to the Trusted Mideast News source Mideast Daily News Email
By subscribing, you agree to The Media Line terms of use and privacy policy.