Iran’s Empty Threats

Al Qabas, Kuwait, April 24

The well-known Arab proverb asserts, “The roaring mountain just gave birth to a mouse,” which aptly describes Iran’s underwhelming response to Israel’s recent bombing of the Iranian Consulate headquarters in Damascus. Despite widespread anticipation for a dramatic retaliation from Iran following the destruction and killing of Brig. Gen. Mohammad Reza Zahedi and seven other officers from the Quds Force, the reality fell far short of expectations. Those familiar with the situation were long aware that Iran’s reaction would likely lack the strength or impact to match Israel’s repeated aggression against it over the years. The catalog of killings and sabotage carried out by Israel against Iran in recent years is extensive and distressing. Yet, Iran has consistently responded with mere condemnations and denouncements. From the assassination of notable figures such as Professor Massoud Ali-Mohammadi and Islamic Revolutionary Guard Corps Brig. Gen. Hassan Tehrani Moghaddam to destructive attacks on nuclear facilities like Natanz, Israel has repeatedly targeted Iran with deadly precision. Despite these provocations, Iran’s responses have been largely impotent. Israel’s history of killing and destruction in and outside of Iran stands in stark contrast to Iran’s subdued responses. The recent operation, named “The True Promise,” exemplifies this stark contrast. Although anticipated to bring about significant harm to Israel through a barrage of missiles and drones, the operation ultimately failed as it was meticulously intercepted and neutralized before causing any damage. This operation underscores the ineffectiveness and bluster that have characterized Iran’s responses to Israeli aggression. Ultimately, the consequences of these events shed light on several key outcomes. First, Prime Minister Netanyahu’s position is solidified as Israeli citizens rally behind him in the face of ongoing threats. Second, the US administration and Congress has realigned their support for Netanyahu, backtracking on previous demands for urgent elections. Third, the international community shifts its stance on Netanyahu’s actions in Gaza, resulting in increased financial and military aid to Israel. In an unexpected turn of events, the Iranian regime inadvertently aids Israel in its challenges in Gaza, prompting a resurgence in support from staunch opponents of the war in Gaza. This unforeseen consequence underscores the complexities of regional dynamics and the intricate web of alliances at play. —Faisal Mohammad bin Sabt (translated by Asaf Zilberfarb)